Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.008796 0.010369 0.012264 0.014754 0.017996 0.022164 0.028077
2025-08-31 0.006868 0.008748 0.011283 0.015087 0.020912 0.030000 0.046486
2025-09-07 0.005631 0.007508 0.010221 0.014657 0.022251 0.035963 0.066584
2025-09-14 0.004771 0.006567 0.009293 0.014040 0.022898 0.040941 0.089653
2025-09-21 0.004262 0.006034 0.008843 0.014030 0.024551 0.048803 0.130026
2025-09-28 0.003976 0.005787 0.008788 0.014673 0.027732 0.062429 0.216208
2025-10-05 0.003837 0.005748 0.009062 0.016004 0.033059 0.087011 0.446533
2025-10-12 0.003616 0.005534 0.008979 0.016573 0.036854 0.111737 0.890848
2025-10-19 0.003334 0.005176 0.008567 0.016312 0.038285 0.129724 1.586850
2025-10-26 0.003133 0.004941 0.008351 0.016452 0.041038 0.159057 3.785791
2025-11-02 0.002917 0.004651 0.007986 0.016140 0.042219 0.183041 9.324170
2025-11-09 0.002665 0.004274 0.007396 0.015144 0.040601 0.187066 16.472194
2025-11-16 0.002438 0.003940 0.006896 0.014387 0.039987 0.202143 58.188075
2025-11-23 0.002320 0.003807 0.006804 0.014715 0.043922 0.270586 NaN
2025-11-30 0.002161 0.003576 0.006472 0.014300 0.044595 0.313613 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002008 0.003342 0.006104 0.013703 0.044179 0.345628 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001909 0.003210 0.005947 0.013693 0.046620 0.440021 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001859 0.003169 0.005992 0.014316 0.052912 0.687300 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001847 0.003203 0.006220 0.015601 0.064654 1.445626 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001794 0.003149 0.006225 0.016150 0.072776 2.690265 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001709 0.003017 0.006019 0.015898 0.075003 3.858244 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001647 0.002932 0.005923 0.016033 0.080686 7.281985 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001572 0.002812 0.005725 0.015733 0.082485 11.561329 NaN